Invest 93L is a broad area of low pressure now producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms in Nicaragua and Honduras.
The disturbance in the southwestern Gulf is now Potential Tropical Cyclone #18, meaning it will likely become Tropical Depression 18 or a Tropical Storm.
"Whether it develops or not, the impacts will remain the same", said Chuck Caracozza, an NWS meteorologist in Miami.
Heavy rainfall and gusty winds may affect Florida this weekend.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles, mainly to the south of the center.
The previous year we reached the "P" storm was 2012. The skillful European global model keeps it fairly disorganized, and probably not quite a tropical depression, while the USA global model and high-resolution hurricane models are all indicating intensification to a tropical storm. Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for Cuba and the Bahamas as this system will move to the northeast through the weekend.
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A disturbance over the northwestern Caribbean Sea has a 60 percent chance of tropical development over the next five days. "The good news is whatever this is should stay well to our east".
An approaching cold front front is expected to move into the Nature Coast north of Tampa Saturday evening and move south of Fort Myers overnight.
Much of this rain may fall during a few hours, which will bring the potential for street and low-lying area flooding.
Rain accumulation from 8 a.m. Friday through 8 a.m. Sunday.
South Florida Water Management District officials said Thursday they were lowering canals to in preparation for heavy rain. That's more than a foot above the 15.5 feet that the Army Corps of Engineers is comfortable with.